Tuesday, May 19, 2020

The Great Lockdown According to Gita Gopinath, IMF

As a result of COVID-19, the global economy is projected to contract sharply by –3 percent in 2020, much worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis.

Gita Gopinath, Economic Counsellor at the International Monetary Fund says:
This crisis is like no other. First, the shock is large.  The output loss associated with this health emergency and related containment measures likely dwarfs the losses that triggered the global financial crisis. Second, like in a war or a political crisis, there is continued severe uncertainty about the duration and intensity of the shock. Third, under current circumstances there is a very different role for economic policy.
Read more from the International Monetary Fund on the nature of the pandemic shock:
  • Foreword by Gita Gopinath
  • Executive Summary
  • Blog post
  • Chapters (for example, Chapter 1:  Global Prospects and Policies)
  • Statistical Appendixes
  • Growth Projections Table
Which can all be found here.

Gita Gopinath is the Economic Counsellor and Director of the Research Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). She is on leave of public service from Harvard University’s Economics department where she is the John Zwaanstra Professor of International Studies and of Economics.

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